Market Analysis

Phoenix Rental Market

Rental investment market data and analysis · Updated September 2026

Median Home Price

$419,500

Average Monthly Rent

$1,670

Estimated Cap Rate

4.8%

Rent-to-Price Ratio

0.4%

Below 1% Rule

Market Trends

Phoenix metro area — % change since 2018

Home Prices

+85.4%

Rent Index

+55.0%

-2%17%37%56%75%95%20182020202220242026

Average Rent by Bedroom

BedroomsAvg Rent
Multi-Family$1,345/mo
Apartment$1,470/mo
Condo$1,701/mo
Townhouse$1,909/mo
Single Family$2,060/mo

Sample Investment Analysis

Based on median price + average rent, 20% down, 6.8% rate, 30yr

Purchase Price$419,500
Down Payment (20%)$83,900
Monthly P&I$2,188
Monthly Rent$1,670
Est. NOI$12,024/yr
Est. Cash Flow-$1,186/mo
Cash on Cash-15.4%

The Phoenix market is cash-flow negative at median prices. Look for properties 15-20% below median or with value-add potential.

What Investors Should Know About Phoenix

  • 1Compressed cap rates below 5% — focus on appreciation or value-add deals
  • 21% Rule fails at median prices — need rent of $4,195/mo to pass
  • 3Below-average rents keep entry costs low for new investors

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