Market Analysis

Tampa Rental Market

Rental investment market data and analysis · Updated October 2026

Median Home Price

$410,001

Average Monthly Rent

$2,175

Estimated Cap Rate

6.4%

Rent-to-Price Ratio

0.5%

Below 1% Rule

Rent ÷ price by zip code

0 of 4 clear the 1% rule · October 2026

ZipMedian priceMedian rentRent ÷ price
33610$299,000$1,8990.64%
33625$420,001$2,2000.52%
33615$400,000$1,8000.45%
33602$775,000$2,8000.36%

Rent ÷ price over time

PacRent rent-to-price index · Tampa

0.47%0.78%1.10%1% RULEOctOctOct
Latest reading 0.53% · 3 monthly readings

Context · FRED home price index

Market Trends

Tampa metro area — % change since 2018

Home Prices

+79.5%

Rent Index

+61.5%

-2%16%35%53%71%89%20182020202220242026

Average Rent by Bedroom

BedroomsAvg Rent
Condo$1,600/mo
Multi-Family$1,644/mo
Apartment$1,702/mo
Single Family$2,448/mo
Townhouse$2,684/mo
Manufactured$3,200/mo

Sample Investment Analysis

Based on median price + average rent, 20% down, 6.8% rate, 30yr

Purchase Price$410,001
Down Payment (20%)$82,000
Monthly P&I$2,138
Monthly Rent$2,175
Est. NOI$15,660/yr
Est. Cash Flow-$833/mo
Cash on Cash-11.1%

The Tampa market is cash-flow negative at median prices. Look for properties 15-20% below median or with value-add potential.

What Investors Should Know About Tampa

  • 1Moderate cap rates suggest balanced cash flow and appreciation
  • 21% Rule fails at median prices — need rent of $4,100/mo to pass
  • 3Above-average rents support strong gross income per unit

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