Market Analysis

Tampa Rental Market

Rental investment market data and analysis · Updated September 2026

Median Home Price

$429,009

Average Monthly Rent

$2,160

Estimated Cap Rate

6.0%

Rent-to-Price Ratio

0.5%

Below 1% Rule

Market Trends

Tampa metro area — % change since 2018

Home Prices

+79.5%

Rent Index

+61.5%

-2%16%35%53%71%89%20182020202220242026

Average Rent by Bedroom

BedroomsAvg Rent
Multi-Family$1,541/mo
Condo$1,624/mo
Manufactured$1,700/mo
Apartment$1,708/mo
Single Family$2,460/mo
Townhouse$2,654/mo

Sample Investment Analysis

Based on median price + average rent, 20% down, 6.8% rate, 30yr

Purchase Price$429,009
Down Payment (20%)$85,802
Monthly P&I$2,237
Monthly Rent$2,160
Est. NOI$15,552/yr
Est. Cash Flow-$941/mo
Cash on Cash-12.0%

The Tampa market is cash-flow negative at median prices. Look for properties 15-20% below median or with value-add potential.

What Investors Should Know About Tampa

  • 1Moderate cap rates suggest balanced cash flow and appreciation
  • 21% Rule fails at median prices — need rent of $4,290/mo to pass
  • 3Above-average rents support strong gross income per unit

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