Market Analysis

Tucson Rental Market

Rental investment market data and analysis · Updated November 2026

Median Home Price

$324,500

Average Monthly Rent

$1,181

Estimated Cap Rate

4.4%

Rent-to-Price Ratio

0.4%

Below 1% Rule

Rent ÷ price by zip code

0 of 4 clear the 1% rule · November 2026

ZipMedian priceMedian rentRent ÷ price
85705$145,000$9950.69%
85719$340,000$1,3000.38%
85711$309,000$1,0280.33%
85701$495,000$1,3990.28%

Context · FRED home price index

Market Trends

Tucson metro area — % change since 2018

Home Prices

+88.7%

Rent Index

+36.2%

-2%17%35%54%73%91%20182020202220242026

Average Rent by Bedroom

BedroomsAvg Rent
Apartment$1,066/mo
Manufactured$1,075/mo
Townhouse$1,143/mo
Condo$1,174/mo
Multi-Family$1,284/mo
Single Family$1,410/mo

Sample Investment Analysis

Based on median price + average rent, 20% down, 6.8% rate, 30yr

Purchase Price$324,500
Down Payment (20%)$64,900
Monthly P&I$1,692
Monthly Rent$1,181
Est. NOI$8,503/yr
Est. Cash Flow-$984/mo
Cash on Cash-16.5%

The Tucson market is cash-flow negative at median prices. Look for properties 15-20% below median or with value-add potential.

What Investors Should Know About Tucson

  • 1Compressed cap rates below 5% — focus on appreciation or value-add deals
  • 21% Rule fails at median prices — need rent of $3,245/mo to pass
  • 3Below-average rents keep entry costs low for new investors

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